Never Waste a Good Crisis?

Lean in hard Times 

I’m not a fan of the latest buzzwords and terms, e.g., lean, six sigma, et. al., but I certainly support application of  improvement related technologies that lean and six sigma represent. 

It’s not that we lack the solutions to make American industries more competitive, but the crisis is more more in leadership — the desire to lead others to strive in being the best.  Colts quarterback Peyton Manning immediately comes to mind of a leader that meets this criteria.

Is the crisis bad enough yet to motivate the Quality Leader in all of us to step up?

Toyota Gets It … Why does U.S. Auto Industry Choose Not To?

POST: Extreme Toyota’s Lesson for American Auto, November 19th, 2008 by Hal

While American Auto go hat-in-hand to Washington, I thought it might be instructive to take a look at what those firms have missed while Toyota has steadily out-invested, out-innovated and racked up more profits than all three combined. Who’s got the answer? How about three professors from a Japanese business school.

Deming’s advice to the Japanese in the 1950’s was to adopt a systems perspective where the consumer was the most important part of the production line, and to reduce variation — Advice that is relevant to any industry.

Natl Security Policy – Realists

Scowcroft Proteges On Obama’s Radar, (Wall Street Journal)…Yochi J. Dreazen and Siobhan Gorman, Nov 24, 2008.

Many of the Republicans emerging as potential members of the Obama administration have professional and ideological ties to Brent Scowcroft, a former national-security adviser turned public critic of the Bush White House.

Mr. Scowcroft’s re-emergence caps a tumultuous few years for the 83-year-old former Air Force general. In the run-up to the Iraq war, Mr. Scowcroft wrote an opinion column in The Wall Street Journal arguing against an invasion and warning that it would “seriously jeopardize, if not destroy” the Bush administration’s war on terrorism. In speeches and interviews, he regularly criticized both the decision to invade Iraq and the Bush team’s handling of the war effort.

The White House responded by removing Mr. Scowcroft from his position as chairman of a foreign intelligence advisory board. Defenders of the Bush policy say the president has planted the seeds of democracy in the Middle East and preserved strong ties with Israel, which had a tense relationship with the elder President Bush when Mr. Scowcroft was national-security adviser.

Bureaucratic Reform Unlikely, Unless …

Couple of articles below from Paul Light on the need for bureaucratic reform. Could not agree more with the statement attributed to Al Gore that “federal employees are not the problem in poor performance. It is the bureaucracy in which they are trapped.”

In my federal career, I’ve been involved in numerous change management initiative undertaken by new administrations and have yet to see any significant sustained and systemic improvement regarding reforms within the bureaucracy.  It’s not that we don’t have the solutions, its that we lack the leadership within the bureaucracy with support by Congress and the American People to lead the needed change. For example, the Baldrige criteria for performance excellence is a proven approach that provides a systemic method for continually improving and assessing performance. Results in applying the criteria is assessed on a scale from zero to 1,000 points.  I would estimate that a typical bureaucratic system would be consistently assessed every year in the 250-300 point range which may equate to a cost of poor quality at approximately 20% of budget.  Delegating authority to Senior Executive Service (SeS) employees to apply the Baldrige framework as the method for continually improving performance should be part of any major change instigative.

A bureaucracy is a system, the system determines the majority (94-98%) of the results, management owns the system.  Successfully changing a system requires a basic knowledge on the interrelationships  between all the stakeholders, systems, variability and knowledge. These components are an integral part of the Baldrige criteria.  Variability, e.g., knowing the distinction between common and special cause variation, stable and unstable systems, and the two types of mistakes, is the most critical of the components. 

W. Edwards Deming, whose work with the Japanese was considered one  the best calls in business history by Fortune magazine, remarked that if he was to reduce his message to management to just a few words, it all had to do with reducing variation. Unfortunately, this simple but powerful concept is relatively unknown in the U.S. culture as is evidenced by the troubles of the Detroit Big 3.

I’m always optimistic when a new administration takes over but the odds are usually with the status quo. If you always do what you always did, on average, you will usually get what you always got.  Let’s hope this time is different.

Fast Track to Efficiency, New York Times, By Paul C. Light, November 11, 2008

BARACK OBAMA is about to inherit a deeply dysfunctional government: the appointment process is nasty, brutish and not at all short; departments are clogged with red tape and reporting chains to nowhere; the civil service system fails at nearly every task it undertakes; and contractors roam freely under the loosest oversight. To carry out the large-scale bureaucratic reform that is badly needed, Mr. Obama should revitalize the president’s fast-track authority to get reorganization plans through Congress.

Obama Has A Chance To Reverse Long Erosion Of The Federal Service, (Washington Post)…Paul C. Light, Nov 19, 2008. …The past eight years have been a horror to many federal employees. The Bush administration has rarely missed an opportunity to criticize, cut and meddle, and it dismissed the notion that federal employees need more freedom to innovate and learn.

As former vice president Al Gore rightly argued, federal employees are not the problem in poor performance. It is the bureaucracy in which they are trapped.

The Bush administration, however, decided that the best way to reform government was to outsource it. From 2001 to 2005, civilian employment remained at 1.8 million, more or less, while the estimated number of contractor jobs surged from 4.4 million to 7.6 million.

Paul C. Light is a professor at New York University’s Robert F. Wagner School of Public Service and author of “A Government Ill Executed.” He is writing an occasional column on the transition for The Washington Post.

Afghanistan War: Tougher than Iraq

Cartwright: Afghanistan War Tougher Than Iraq
(ArmyTimes.com)…Rick Maze
The vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs warned Monday that U.S. troops and their families should not expect to relax if operations in Iraq wrap up soon. Marine Gen. James Cartwright, speaking Monday in Arlington, Va., before a symposium sponsored by the Military Officers Association of America, predicted the situation in Afghanistan won’t be resolved as easily or quickly as was the case with creating a semblance of political stability in Iraq.

Taliban Says No To Karzai On Offer Of Peace Talks
(Washington Post)…Associated Press
Taliban insurgents rejected an offer of peace talks with Afghan President Hamid Karzai, reiterating Monday their position that there would be no negotiations until foreign troops leave Afghanistan.

Taliban Threatens Attacks In Paris
(Washington Times)…Unattributed
The Taliban threatened to launch attacks in Paris unless France withdraws from Afghanistan, in a video aired by Al Arabiya television on Monday.

Iraq: Fighting Corruption

Premier Of Iraq Is Quietly Firing Fraud Monitors(New York Times)…James Glanz and Riyadh Mohammed

The government of Prime Minister Nuri Kamal al-Maliki is systematically dismissing Iraqi oversight officials, who were installed to fight corruption in Iraqi ministries by order of the American occupation administration, which had hoped to bring Western standards of accountability to the notoriously opaque and graft-ridden bureaucracy here.

Credit for the Surge

Mr. Obama, Give That Man A Medal, (Wall Street Journal)…William McGurn, Nov 18, 2008.

Stephen Hadley offered the option of victory in Iraq.

The surge story begins back in 2006, when al Qaeda finally succeeded in setting the Shia and Sunni at each others’ throats. That October, with Baghdad consumed by sectarian fires, Mr. Hadley tasked William Luti to come up with a new way forward.

By having Mr. Luti draw up the concept for a surge, Mr. Hadley ensured that when options were presented to the president, one of them would be to fight. In Mr. Luti’s strategic conception, securing the population became the top priority. In public, advocates like retired Army Gen. Jack Keane and military strategist Fred Kagan did yeoman’s work to press the case for a surge. But within the White House decision-making process, it was almost this simple: No Steve Hadley, no surge — and no success.

Awarding Steve Hadley the Medal of Freedom would cost Mr. Obama nothing, save possibly a few howls from the Daily Kos.

Obama Presidency: Idealism and Realism

WPR Feature: The Obama Presidency, The Editors | U.S. Foreign Policy World Politics Review Exclusive, 14 Nov 2008.

With the U.S. presidential election finally decided, attention has now turned to just how President-elect Barack Obama will handle American foreign policy. In WPR’s latest biweekly feature issue, two prominent foreign policy analysts examine the challenges and opportunities that await The Obama Presidency.

Wilsonian Idealist or Progressive Realist? by Nikolas Gvosdev.

A Grand Strategy Agenda by Thomas P.M. Barnett.

Soft Power: Prevention

U.S. Shows That Soft Power Can Work In A Hard War (Washington Times)…Gary Schaub Jr. Nov 12, 2008.
Soft power is about to come to U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) – America’s military command in the Middle East – in a big way. 

By winning friends and influencing people, the idea goes, the United States can defuse potential conflicts before they start and achieve America’s goals without firing a shot.

If the next president is patient and trusts Gen. Petraeus’ judgment, the success of the surge can be replicated across the Middle East and Central Asia, and soft-power approaches will permeate American foreign policy for a generation to come.

Gary Schaub Jr. is an assistant professor in the Leadership and Strategy Department of the Air War College at Maxwell Air Force Base, in Montgomery, Ala.