Al Qaeda defeat in Iraq

Al Qaeda’s Market Crash, (New York Post)…Ralph Peters, July 19, 2008, Pg. 19

IF you think the US markets have problems, look at the value of al Qaeda shares throughout the Muslim world: A high-flying political equity just a few years ago, its stock has tanked. It made the wrong strategic investments and squandered its moral capital.

What a difference a war makes.

Guess what? We won.

So what’s the greatest irony? The president’s oft-mocked declaration of "Mission Accomplished" wasn’t wrong, after all – just premature.

Ralph Peters’ new book is "Looking For Trouble: Adventures in a Broken World."

Iraq: Security Agreement

Surge Protector, (New York Times)…William J. Fallon, July 20, 2008.

THE prospect of a long-term security arrangement between the United States and Iraq has become a lightning rod for criticism. Yet such an agreement — which the White House believes could be completed this month now that the two countries have agreed to set a “general time horizon” for reducing the number of American troops in Iraq — would be in the best interests of the governments of both countries, and of the people who live in a region of the world that urgently needs stability.

Iraq: More positive trends

    Iraqi Sunnis End Boycott And Rejoin Government, (New York Times)…Campbell Robertson and Sabrina Tavernise. Iraqi lawmakers cleared an important hurdle on Saturday by approving the appointment of six Sunni cabinet ministers after a yearlong boycott by the Sunni political bloc.

    Sunni Bloc Rejoins Iraqi Government, Amid Reconciliation Hopes, (Washington (Post) …Sudarsan Raghavan. …The move came as British Prime Minister Gordon Brown made an unannounced visit to Baghdad for talks with Maliki and President Jalal Talabani. Brown declared afterward that Britain will reduce troop levels in Iraq but refused to set what he called an "artificial" timetable.
    Sunni Bloc Returns To Iraq Cabinet
    (Los Angeles Times)…Alexandra Zavis and Raheem Salman, …Left out of the mix were members of the so-called Awakening movement made up of Sunni tribal leaders, whose rebellion against Sunni militants is credited by the U.S. military with helping bring down the level of violence nationwide. Awakening leaders have been pressing for a stake in power, and frustration is building at Maliki’s failure to embrace the movement.
    Al Qaeda Shifting Focus From Iraq, (Washington Times)…Robert Burns, Associated Press. After intense U.S. assaults, al Qaeda may be considering shifting focus to its original home base in Afghanistan, where American casualties are running higher than in Iraq, the top U.S. commander in Iraq said Saturday.
    Maliki Backs Obama Troop Pullout Plan
    (Chicago Tribune)…Liz Sly, Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki threw his support behind Barack Obama’s troop withdrawal plan in an interview published Saturday, ahead of an expected visit by the Illinois senator to a significantly calmer Baghdad than the one he last encountered two years ago.
    Hotel For Green Zone, (New York Daily News)…Unattributed, Iraqi officials say they have approved plans to build a five-star hotel in Baghdad’s heavily guarded Green Zone.

Iraq: Good Odds for Victory

The New Reality In Iraq, (Wall Street Journal)…Frederick W. Kagan, Kimberly Kagan and Jack Keane, July 16, 2008
Pg. 17

All of the most important objectives of the surge have been accomplished in Iraq. The sectarian civil war is ended; al Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) has been dealt a devastating blow; and the Sadrist militia and other Iranian-backed militant groups have been disrupted.

The result is that we have an extraordinary — but fleeting — opportunity to advance America’s security and the stability of a vital region of the world.

The blunt fact is this. In Iraq, al Qaeda is on the ropes, and the Shiite militias are badly off-balance.

If America remains firm in its commitment to success in Iraq, success is very likely. The AQI and Shiite militias at present do not have the capacity to drive Iraq off course — unless both the U.S. and the Iraqi government make a number of serious mistakes.

While victory in war is never certain until the war is over, the odds are strongly with us for once — provided we do the right thing. That is to stand by our best ally in the war against al Qaeda, and the struggle to contain Iran.

Mr. Kagan is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Ms. Kagan is president of the Institute for the Study of War. Mr. Keane is a former vice chief of staff of the U.S. Army. All have just returned from their most recent visit to Iraq.

Iraq Army and Police: Ready in 2009

U.S. General: Iraqi Forces To Be Fully Ready In ’09
(Washington Post)…Ann Scott Tyson and Dan Eggen, July 10, 2008, Pg. 1

Iraq’s army and police will be fully manned and operational by mid-2009, possibly as early as April, the top U.S. general in charge of building Iraqi security forces said yesterday, signaling the prospect that Iraqi forces could assume primary combat responsibilities in the country while U.S. troops shift to a supporting role.

Iraq: Positive trends – troop reductions

Gates Optimistic That Iraq Troop Cutbacks Will Continue, (Yahoo.com)…Agence France-Presse Defense Secretary Robert Gates expressed optimism Tuesday that US troop cutbacks will continue in Iraq, saying the transition of control to Iraqi security forces was going well.

Iraq Wants Withdrawal Timetable In U.S. Pact
(Washington Post)…Ernesto Londono and Dan Eggen. Iraq’s national security adviser said Tuesday that his government would not sign an agreement governing the future role of U.S. troops in Iraq unless it includes a timetable for their withdrawal.

Partnership for Iraq

The Wrong Partnership For Iraq, (Washington Post)…Bill Delahunt and Rosa DeLauro, July 8, 2008, Pg. 15

The June 15 editorial ” A Partnership For Iraq” criticized Democrats in Congress for opposing the proposed long-term military agreement between the United States and Iraq that would replace the U.N. mandate under which U.S. forces are fighting. The editorial called the agreement a way of “countering Iran’s attempt to dominate the Middle East.” We have examined this issue for many months and believe that The Post’s position is badly misguided.

…We have proposed an alternative that would serve our interests and those of the Iraqis far better: extending the U.N. mandate in Iraq for six months, as has been done before, so that the new president and Congress can work with Iraq’s leaders to determine the next agreement.

It is time for everyone to slow down. We should extend the U.N. mandate for a short period to maintain the status quo and ultimately turn this issue over to the next president and Congress, who must implement any agreement. Rather than dictating the terms of our long-term relationship with Iraq, such a policy would allow us to work with Iraqis to craft an agreement that includes the carefully coordinated withdrawal of U.S. combat forces that majorities in both countries support. Doing so would also solidify the type of sustainable partnership that the people of the United States and Iraq need and deserve.

 

Iraq: Defeat of terrorism …

Al-Maliki: Terrorists In Country ‘Defeated’
(Washington Times)…Sebastian Abbot, July 6, 2008
Pg. 1, Associated Press

Iraq’s prime minister said Saturday that the government has defeated terrorism in the country – a sign of growing confidence after recent crackdowns against Sunni extremists and Shi’ite militias.

Iraq: Justification for War

Why We Went To War In Iraq
(Wall Street Journal)…Douglas J. Feith, July 3, 2008
Pg. 11

A lot of poor commentary has framed the Iraq war as a conflict of "choice" rather than of "necessity." In fact, President George W. Bush chose to remove Saddam Hussein from power because he concluded that doing so was necessary.

When the president ultimately decided that the Iraqi regime must be ousted by force, he was influenced by five key factors:

1) Saddam was a threat to U.S. interests before 9/11. 

2) The threat of renewed aggression by Saddam was more troubling and urgent after 9/11.

3) To contain the threat from Saddam, all reasonable means short of war had been tried unsuccessfully for a dozen years.

4) While there were large risks involved in a war, the risks of leaving Saddam in power were even larger.

5) America after 9/11 had a lower tolerance for such dangers. 

Mr. Feith, under secretary of defense for policy from 2001 to 2005, is author of "War and Decision: Inside the Pentagon at the Dawn of the War on Terrorism" (HarperCollins, 2008), the author’s proceeds of which are being donated to charities for veterans and their families.

Briefing: Chairman JCS

Highlights from the briefing by the Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mullen: 

A Shortage Of Troops In Afghanistan
(Washington Post)…Josh White
The nation’s top military officer said yesterday that more U.S. troops are needed in Afghanistan to tamp down an increasingly violent insurgency, but that the Pentagon does not have sufficient forces to send because they are committed to the war in Iraq.

Risk To U.S. Troops Seen If Israel Hits Iran
(Los Angeles Times)…Peter Spiegel
The U.S. military’s top officer warned Wednesday that an Israeli airstrike against Iran would make the Middle East more unstable and could add to the stress on overworked American forces in the region.

Mullen Warns Of ‘Third Front’ For US
(Financial Times)…Daniel Dombey, Andrew Ward and Harvey Morris
…In comments to the press, Admiral Michael Mullen, the senior US military commander, also said he was “deeply troubled” by what he said was the increasing effectiveness of the Taliban in Afghanistan.

Broadcast News Coverage Of Admiral Mullen Briefing, (CNN)…Jamie McIntyre
…Well, John, a candid admission from America’s top military officer that the United States right now really isn’t up for another war. While Adm. Mike Mullen won’t say what message he delivered in recent meetings with Israel’s top generals, the warning to Israel seemed clear: Don’t drag the U.S. into war by launching a preemptive attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities.