POST: Disappointing NIC report, Thomas P.M. Barnett on November 22, 2008
ARTICLE: US global dominance ‘set to wane’, BBC, 21 November 2008
REPORT: GLOBAL TRENDS 2025: THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE COUNCIL’S 2025 PROJECT, NIC, November 2008
Disappointing to see the NIC default to resource wars as a generalized bit of futures fear-mongering. It’s just so unimaginative and reflects the NIC talking to a lot of stale academics who trot out their analogies to 19th-century colonialism and balance-of-power politics while completely discounting the profound economic–and especially financial–interdependence (the latter currently on display big time).
Not very helpful in terms of preparing people for the real dynamics ahead.
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