Russia, U.S. Missile Defense

Russian Bombers Could Be Deployed To Cuba
(Washington Post)…Peter Finn, July 22, 2008
Pg. 10

Russian bombers capable of carrying nuclear weapons could be deployed to Cuba in response to U.S. plans to install a missile defense system in Eastern Europe, a Russian newspaper reported Monday, citing an unnamed senior Russian air force official.

"While they are deploying the missile shield in Poland and the Czech Republic, our strategic bombers will already be landing in Cuba," Izvestia quoted the source as saying.

The United States says it wants to deploy tracking radar in the Czech Republic and 10 missile interceptors in Poland as a defensive measure against missiles that might be fired from countries such as Iran. U.S. officials insist that the system presents no threat to Russia, which, they say, could easily overwhelm it by launching multiple missiles at the same time.

Afghanistan: Strategy

Afghanistan Doesn’t Need A ‘Surge’
(Wall Street Journal)…Ann Marlowe, July 22, 2008
Pg. 17

Afghanistan needs many things, but two more brigades of U.S. troops are not among them.

…. Is bringing in thousands of American troops the answer?

"No!" the official said. "It’s using Special Forces to get the bad guys who are infiltrating from Pakistan. Our enemy only attacks when they expect to win. If we have to go after them, we need the capacity to hunt them with stealth over trackless mountainsides for which our infantry, cavalry and airborne soldiers are not trained or equipped to operate." Defeating the enemy is best accomplished by highly trained fighters who travel light.

Counterinsurgency is not one-size-fits-all. While there are best practices, they must be applied in a nuanced way. In poorly governed countries where insurgencies are likely to arise, the solution may vary from valley to valley.

Ms. Marlowe is a New York-based writer. This year she completed her 10th trip to Afghanistan and her third embed with U.S. forces there.

Iraq, U.S. Politics, Philippines

Filipino War’s Lessons For Iraq
(USA Today)…Michael Medved, July 22, 2008, Pg. 11

A century ago, success seemed unlikely in an unpopular war — that is, until the tide turned. Can the shift in the Philippines show the way forward today?

…  For one thing, the United States lost 4,234 troops on Filipino battlefields — a close match to the raw number killed in Iraq.

..  In 1900, the inexperienced but charismatic "anti-imperialist" Democrat who challenged the war was 40-year-old William Jennings Bryan, "Boy Orator of the Platte."

… Like 2008, the nation’s leading celebrities decried the "senseless" bloodletting and focused on alleged U.S. atrocities.

… For the most part, America’s volunteer troops maintained high morale, resenting anti-war activists back home because they understood this agitation encouraged the enemy.

Nationally syndicated radio talk host Michael Medved is the author of the upcoming book The 10 Big Lies About America. He is a member of USA TODAY’s board of contributors.

Iraq, Good News, Media Coverage

Good News Is No News
(Washington Times)…Paul Greenberg, July 22, 2008, Pg. 23

Have you been keeping up with the good news out of Mosul, al Qaeda’s last urban stronghold in Iraq? The good news is that it’s not an al Qaeda stronghold any more. Thanks to the latest American and Iraqi offensive. But you might not have heard about that welcome development.

… For news of victory, Americans may have to look to the foreign press.

Iran Diplomacy: Unintended Consequences?

Articles on the Iran run the gamut from the application of “Military” power vice “Diplomatic.”  “Economic ” incentives used to encourage peaceful resolution while the news media  provide “Information” that includes the full range of potential possibilities.  The unintended consequence mentioned in the article is bolstering Ahmadinejad’s re-election campaign. 

Now Bush Is Appeasing Iran, (Wall Street Journal)…Michael Rubin, July 21, 2008, Pg. 11

…Diplomacy is not wrong, but President Bush’s reversal is diplomatic malpractice on a Carter-esque level that is breathing new life into a failing regime. The Iranian government has spent billions of dollars — money that might have been better spent on refineries and gas turbine power plants — on a nuclear program that has failed to produce a single kilowatt of electricity.

On May 31, 2006, Condoleezza Rice drew a red line in front of Tehran’s nuclear enrichment program. “The Iranian government’s choices are clear,” she said. “The negative choice is for the regime to maintain its current course. . . . If the regime does so, it will incur only great costs.” She also offered an olive branch: “As soon as Iran fully and verifiably suspends its enrichment and reprocessing activities, the United States will come to the table with our EU-3 colleagues and meet with Iran’s representatives.”

Two years later, Iranian officials have installed more than 3,000 centrifuges in a facility designed to hold 50,000.

While European diplomats hope regime pragmatists might reinject responsibility in the Iranian debate, Ms. Rice’s State Department has bolstered Ahmadinejad and his fellow travelers. As Ahmadinejad begins his re-election campaign, he can say he has successfully brought Washington to its knees through blunt defiance, murder of U.S. troops in Iraq, and Holocaust denial. Should he win re-election in 2009, he will have Mr. Bush’s whiplash diplomacy to thank for his greatest — and, given the state of his economy, perhaps only — victory.

Mr. Rubin is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.

Iraq: Defining Victory

Two articles that contrast the challenges in a Democracy during a war. Once the commitment to go to war is made, how do you avoid the perception that one political party wants to see the other lose?

We Have Won The War In Iraq(New York Daily News)…Michael Yon, July 21, 2008, Pg. 19

“The war in Iraq is over. We won. Which means the Iraqi people won.” When I wrote this on my Web site a few days ago, I set off a mini-firestorm. Perhaps because I have spent more time embedded with combat troops in Iraq than any journalist I know – and have interviewed countless Iraqis and members of the coalition military.

So I will be very clear what I mean when I say we have won the war. A counterinsurgency is won when the government’s legitimacy is no longer threatened by the insurgents, the government is able to protect its own people and the people are participating in the government. In Iraq, all three conditions apply.

We should keep some troop presence in Iraq to continue supporting the ISF in its peacekeeping mission. There will still be sporadic violence and even spectacular attacks. But I believe that by the end of the year, barring some unexpected setback, even the most ardent war critics will have to admit the obvious: The war is over. We won.

Yon, a former Green Beret, is author of the book “Moment of Truth in Iraq” and writes at www.michaelyon-online.com.

 

The Democrats’ Baghdad Two-Step, (Washington Post)…Peter Hoekstra. July 21, 2008 Pg. 15

It’s hard not to have heard about the positive developments in Iraq lately.

How have Democrats reacted to these developments? Have they reveled in the news that U.S. casualties have plummeted? Have they praised the achievements for which our troops have fought so hard? Have they congratulated the Iraqi government for progress in political reconciliation?

Not exactly.

While there is much still to be done in Iraq, recent events give many reasons for hope. Rather than always focusing on the negative of one front in the battle against radical jihadists, Democratic congressional leaders need to acknowledge success, highlight challenges and lay out a comprehensive long-term strategy to confront, contain and ultimately defeat the threat facing America. Our country cannot be led by naysayers who slide from issue to issue. The responsibilities of leadership go far beyond what Democrats in Congress are demonstrating today.

The writer, a representative from Michigan, is the ranking Republican on the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence.

Iran: Not being serious about nuclear program

Iran Not Serious In Nuclear Talks, U.S. Says, (Baltimore Sun)…Unattributed, July 21, 2008

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice accused Iran today of not being serious at weekend talks about its disputed nuclear program despite the presence of a senior U.S. diplomat, and warned that Tehran might soon face new sanctions. In her first public comments since Saturday’s meeting in Switzerland, Rice said Iran had given the runaround to envoys from the United States and five other world powers. She said all six nations were serious about a two-week deadline for Iran to agree to freeze suspect activities and start negotiations or be hit with new penalties. At the meeting, Iran had been expected to respond to a package of incentives offered in exchange for halting the enrichment of uranium, which can be used to fuel nuclear reactors or atomic weapons.

Next-War-Itis: Debate on Strategy

A Pentagon Battle Over ‘The Next War’ (Los Angeles Times)…Julian E. Barnes and Peter Spiegel, July 21, 2008
Pg. 1

Some resist Gates’ focus on guerrilla, not large-scale, fighting.

Air Force Maj. Gen. Charles J. Dunlap Jr … like many officers across the military, believes the armed forces must prepare for a large-scale war against technologically sophisticated, well-equipped adversaries, rather than long-term ground conflicts like Iraq and Afghanistan.

In public speeches and private meetings, Gates has chastised many commanders as ignoring wars in Iraq and Afghanistan while they plan for speculative future conflicts.

“We should not starve the forces at war today to prepare for a war that may never come,” Gates said in a stinging address last month, one of a series he has delivered. Gates even has coined a term for what he sees as a military disorder: “next-war-itis.”

“I think that nation-state and conventional war is in a state of hibernation,” said Marine Gen. James N. Mattis, who commanded U.S. forces in Fallouja in 2004. “I don’t think it’s gone away, but the most likely threats probably today are not going to be conventional or from another state.”

Mattis argues that the current fight is not an interlude.

In the middle of the debate is Navy Adm. Michael G. Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs. Mullen has asserted that the military must find a balance between conventional and irregular wars.

The center of gravity in this war has always been the Iraqi people. And when you talk to them, as I have over the past three and a half years, you realize that victory is at hand. They no longer live in fear. Despite sectarian conflicts that are now political rather than military in nature, the feeling of Iraqi nationalism is palpable. Yes, they are Shiites and Sunnis and Kurds, but they are also Iraqis. Just like we are Floridians and New Yorkers, but also Americans.